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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 25bp to 3.0%, a decision widely expected by economists and markets. This meant that the OCR has fallen by 2.5% from its 5.5% peak in mid-2024. The above OCR track published by the Reserve Bank is projected to end the year at

The post Reserve Bank panic set to crater interest rates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Platitude one. Treasurer Jim Chalmers has opened the door for an assault on superannuation concessions and other wealth taxes in exchange for lower income tax, by declaring intergenerational equity will drive reforms that could be taken to the next election or implemented beforehand. Wrapping up the three-day Economic Reform Roundtable on Thursday, Chalmers said while there was no clear

The post PC roundtable pivots to Palestine appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 13:00 Source

James Campbell from the Daily Telegraph reported on the explosion in bogus asylum seekers under the Albanese government: When Labor came to office, there were roughly 68,000 people who had been told they must leave who were still here. By the end of July, this number had reached 98,979, which without a doubt will be

The post Labor oversees explosion in fake asylum seekers appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 12:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 12:30 Source

I am philosophically opposed to using scarce taxpayer funds to subsidise private car purchases. Battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are heavily subsidised in Australia. Every year, the federal government loses more than $500 million in tax income due to the Fringe Benefits Tax (FBT) exemption for BEVs, a figure that will rise as the number of

The post EV subsidies are middle class welfare appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Herald Sun has another frustrating gas debate today. Gas exports from the east coast could be brought under a new licence scheme to protect supplies for Aussie users, under a plan backed by industry groups and manufacturers. But the looming overhaul is dividing the states, with Queensland blaming the southern states for looming gas shortfalls.

The post QLD is a gas bloody idiot appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 11:30 Source

One of the main purposes of migration is to raise productivity. After all, governments are ostensibly meant to be pursuing a highly targeted process to bring in the best and brightest that the country needs. It’s rather self-evident that welcoming brilliant innovators to the nation who are earning 2.5x or more the average income will

The post Poorly targeted migration tanks productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The ferrous complex is trying to hold $100. I expect it to fail. Not on anything especially dramatic. Largely because the seasonal headwinds for September are strong amid weakening Chinese growth. Goldman. Imports pulse is weak. Surprises bearish. Construction steel versus the rest means ongoing pressure on recycling but seasonality should also pull down BOF. It’s

The post Iron yawn appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 10:31 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear.  Watching the sensitive stuff ETH trying to tell tech something? These two have moved in perfect tandem over the past 2 months, but the latest gap is becoming very wide. Source: LSEG Workspace The worrisome part of the calendar The S&P 500 down 5 days in a row – front-running the calendar

The post Stocks set up for punishment appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Productivity Commission (PC) was never the same after Gary Banks departed as chair in 2013, after leading the organisation from its inception in 1998. Back then, you could trust the institution to deliver sound advice grounded in evidence. Sadly, the PC has become politicised and lost its way. It is telling that not one

The post Expensive energy will cripple Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, August 22, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Hey! A bunch of the early Cretaceous fossils on each coast seem to have been plagiarized, too!

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is back. AUD has entered freefall. CNY is fine. Gold is confused. Metals are nervous. Big bear intact. EM swoon. Junk hiccupped finally. As yields broke higher. Stocks kept falling. There wasn’t any earthmoving data. All eyes are on Jay Powell. Goldman says he’s going to break. Goldman economist David Mericle expects Powell to

The post Australian dollar enters freefall appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw Wall Street stumble for the fifth consecutive session as traders get nervous about tonight’s Jackson Hole meeting and possible big changes at the Federal Reserve proper as the Trump regime wants to install sycophants on the board ASAP.  The USD is seeing more signs of a strength with a strong flash PMI overnight

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 08:50 Source

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Your Democracy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 08:04 Source

A German opposition leader has accused the EU of hypocrisy, pointing out that those who once rejected dialogue with Moscow are now praising US President Donald Trump’s diplomatic efforts to settle the Ukraine conflict. 

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Recall that the federal government has set a fantastical target to construct 1.2 million homes over five years, from 1 July 2024. This target would require a level of construction that has never been achieved before. The highest single 12 months of construction in Australia’s history was achieved in Q1 2017 when 223,600 dwellings were

The post Australian housing supply cannot keep up with demand appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 07:33 Source

Israel’s decision under its fanatic ethno-nationalist government to both approve more West Bank settlements and invade Gaza City now tragically defines the whole Zionist project: a 70-year campaign to purge Palestinians and create a greater Israel. Netanyahu’s criminality now defines Israel’s mission and recasts its history.

 

Bob Carr

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Your Democracy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 07:25 Source

Australia’s $368 billion submarine program is apparently wobbling again, not because US shipyards can’t keep up, or because a future president could cancel the deal with the flick of a pen.

Those are mere details.

The real “problem”, we’re told, is tonal.

 

Fred Zhang

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Renew Economy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 06:55 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 06:38 Source
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Your Democracy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 06:25 Source

Russian President Vladimir Putin will meet Ukraine’s Vladimir Zelensky if all the issues relating to the settlement of the conflict between Moscow and Kiev are worked out, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has said.

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Your Democracy Friday, August 22, 2025 - 05:55 Source

 

Italian police have arrested a Ukrainian man who it is claimed is suspected of involvement in the bombing of the Nord Stream gas pipelines, German prosecutors reported on Thursday.

The man, referred to only as Sergey K, was detained near Rimini on the basis of a European arrest warrant. German investigators believe he led a unit that blew up sections of the pipelines in September 2022.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 22, 2025 - 00:05 Source

On Wednesday evening, I received an email from an Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) media officer suggesting that I have misled the public by quoting the ABS’ monthly net permanent and long-term arrivals data. The article where I have purportedly misled can be read here. The email, presented below with the officer’s name removed, claimed

The post ABS tries to censor migration debate appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 21, 2025 - 19:48 Source

In Nature, researchers warn of a series of "abrupt" changes affecting Antarctica, the consequences of which could potentially be catastrophic for the entire world. Another study published at the same time highlights the impact of tourism and scientific expeditions on this continent, which has been losing 135 billion tons of snow and ice per year since 2002.

 

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 21, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Australian stocks led the way to a new record high today but the rest of Asian share markets were mainly down across the board as risk sentiment continues to shift further into negative space as we all await the Jackson Hole conference tomorrow. The USD remains on a small rally against the majors although Euro

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 21, 2025 - 15:22 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 21, 2025 - 14:39 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 21, 2025 - 14:31 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 21, 2025 - 14:24 Source
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