The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), released on Tuesday, forecast that the unemployment rate would decline back to 4.2% before rising gradually to 4.3% over the forward estimates. Today, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the July Labour Force survey, which posted a bounce back in
At the end of 2024, CoreLogic (now Cotality) estimated that Australians were paying a record percentage of their income to rent the median property. According to Cotality’s most recent quarterly rental report, national median rents have risen by 43% over the last five years, causing the average tenant household to pay an additional $10,350 per
The robots are all in on the AI bubble, but humans are not. The Market Ear. Much more room Equity allocation according to FMS has risen, but we are way below extreme levels. Source: BofA Still depressed Goldman’s equity sentiment indicator of positioning remains depressed. Source: GS Refusing Non dealers continue to refuse buying the
Last week, the ABC reported that within the Albanese government there were two very different approaches to the productivity round table scheduled for later this month. “One camp doubts that a cautious Albanese has much inclination to take on a controversial new policy—and questions whether “consensus” can be achieved with business and unions appearing poles
The ferrous complex continues on its merry seasonal way. We ought to be near some kind of top here. The price is high enough to draw Indian ore back into the seaborne market, which will immediately have to be pushed back out again once Simandou starts up in November. The seasonal patterns, which are very
Australia’s economy suffered a lost decade in the 2010s amid the collapse in per capita GDP and productivity growth. This decade is shaping up as another lost decade, with the economy trapped in a long per capita recession amid the worst labour productivity growth in the advanced world. The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP)
We’ve gone from avoiding the only productivity question that matters, the impacts of mass immigration on capital shallowing. To a vested interest scramble. To the do-nothing PM shutting it all down. It’s a farce, as it was always going to be, and now we’re focused on just one thing: meeting the centrally planned dwelling construction
A staid night on the economic calendar with Wall Street closing at new record highs while European stocks played catchup as it seems the impact of US inflation is being discounted sharply by market players while the Fed continues to signal caution. The USD remains on the ropes against all the majors with Euro hitting
OECD data shows that Australia has experienced the largest decline in real per capita household disposable incomes in the developed world. The March quarter national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that annual real per capita household disposable income was tracking 8.2% below its Q2 2022 peak: Tuesday’s Statement of Monetary
Asian share markets are generally boisterous in correlation with the equally euphoric Wall Street which was able to swing a higher domestic inflation print into an increased probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. Currency-land remains stagnant however with the USD losing out against most of the majors as Euro