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Renew Economy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 09:24 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 09:19 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 09:00 Source

The latest US GDP print for Q1 came in worse than expected, sending Wall Street down 2% at one stage before the hopium set in as markets recovered towards the close on reports of a possible Canadian deal with the new PM. The USD was mixed against the majors with some return to strength against

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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THE BLOT REPORT Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 08:48 Source

When I first heard that there was to be a shadow cabinet reshuffle from the leader of the Liberal Party, Peter Dutton, I was not particularly interested given that most of the shadow cabinet are inept or corrupt. However, when I heard that Gina Rinehart had said on January 22, 2025, that “if we are sensible, we should set up a DOGE [Department of Government Efficiency] immediately, reduce government waste, government [red] tape and regulations, I was unsurprised, being as she is a big Trump supporter, and even travelled to the US to kiss his ring at his inauguration1.

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 08:43 Source
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Your Democracy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 08:26 Source

New polling demonstrates that most voters see President Donald Trump as a dangerous politician and view his leadership style as dictatorial.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Q1 CPI release revealed that housing inflation is slowing rapidly, contributing to lower trimmed mean inflation. CPI rental inflation rose by 1.2% in Q1 but moderated to 5.5% growth annually. The annual rate of growth was down from the peak of 7.8% in Q1 2024. The following chart from

The post Housing a welcome drag on inflation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 07:40 Source

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Your Democracy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 07:31 Source

The mainstream Western media and global, alternative media outlets have been delivering a remarkable converging stream of blistering commentary since 2 April on what is now widely called, even by The Economist, Trump’s tariff tantrum.

 

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Your Democracy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 05:55 Source

The Irish-language hip hop trio Kneecap is being investigated by British counterterrorism police following a controversial appearance where the group performed in front of the words “FUCK ISRAEL, FREE PALESTINE” during a music festival in the United States.

 

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John Quiggin Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 05:08 Source

Back in 2022, after my first encounter with ChatGPT, I suggested that it was likely to wipe out large categories of “bullshit jobs”, but unlikely to create mass unemployment. In retrospect, that was probably an overestimate of the likely impact. But three years later, it seems as if an update might be appropriate.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Australia’s productivity growth has averaged just 0.2% a year over the last decade. Labor’s first budget in 2022 included the assumption that productivity growth would average 1.2% over the long-term. The Coalition contends that annual GDP would be about $250 billion higher if productivity had grown at this pace, while annual tax revenue would have

The post Australia is trapped in a productivity death spiral appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 18:54 Source

Days away from the Federal Election, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has yet to offer the voting public any reason to elect him, writes Dr Alex Vickery-Howe.

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Core Econ Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 18:23 Source

Understanding Business Building Insurance: Comprehensive Protection for Your Premises and Assets

“Explore Business Building Insurance: an all-around shield for your premises & assets. Understand & secure your enterprise now!”

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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 16:59 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Some interesting local and Chinese reports were absorbed by markets in Asia today, with all eyes really on Friday’s US non farm payroll print and of course, any more waffles coming from the Oval Office about “deals” around Trump’s tariffs. The latest Chinese manufacturing PMI prints weren’t grim as expected but still so a sharp

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 15:06 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 15:02 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:56 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:54 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:50 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Elderly parent visas are Australia’s most costly and should be abolished. Around 8,500 permanent parent visas are issued every year. The 2023 Migration Review from the Australian Treasury estimated that each parent visa costs Australian taxpayers $393,000: The Treasury has estimated that each parent permanent migrant costs $393,000 over their remaining lifetime in Australia. Older

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Albanese government announced on the weekend that it will increase the application charge on student visas from $1,600 to $2,000 if Labor is re-elected. The change will not affect arrangements for Pacific Island and Timor-Leste applicants. The visa fee increase is forecast to deliver $760 million to the budget over the forward estimates. “We

The post Increasing student visa fees is sound policy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The latest polling from Resolve Political Monitor shows Labor leading the Coalition 53% to 47% in two-party terms. Anthony Albanese also leads Peter Dutton by 47% to 31% as preferred Prime Minister. However, Resolve notes that Labor’s primary vote “remains weaker than it was at the last election, down from 32.6% to 3%, highlighting the

The post Peter Dutton prays for an election miracle appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:47 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the all-important Q1 2025 CPI inflation print. Headline inflation rose by 0.9% over the quarter and by 2.4% year over year. The result was slightly ahead of analysts’ expectations of a 2.4% annual increase. The more policy-important trimmed mean inflation printed at 0.7% in Q1 2025, in

The post Aussie inflation print greenlights May rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The ferrous complex is not well. As the trade shock begins. Morgan Stanley. Our Asia Economists see China’s 2Q GDP growth tracking below 4.5% Y/Y (vs. 5.4% Y/Y in1Q) as more hard data points are showing that tariffs are affecting activity: container throughput is declining, freight shipping prices to the US are slumping, and China’s

The post Iron ore at the edge appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:00 Source

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Victorians pay the highest state and local taxes in the nation. Victorians suffered a 40.5% increase in state and local government taxes since 2020-21, the largest increase in the nation. Victoria’s state taxes as a share of gross state product have also increased to 6.08%, the highest

The post Victoria swings axe amid “catastrophic budget” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear on diving US leading indicators.    Post crisis lows VIX at the lowest levels since the early April panic. Note the aggressive VVIX implosion, as well as the latest little bid in VVIX. Volatility is not dirt cheap, but early long volatility positions/hedges are starting to screen attractive again. Our full volatility

The post Here comes the recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The composition of Australia’s international student enrolments has changed drastically over the past 20 years. In December 2005, 288,579 overseas students were studying in Australia. China (63,695) dominated enrolments, with India (24,644) in a distant second position. The Department of Education didn’t even list Nepal. Nine years later, in December 2014, 452,965 overseas students enrolled in

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