We’re into the final two weeks of the 2019 federal election campaign, and two opinion polls released today still point towards a Labor victory.
The monthly Ipsos shows a two-party preferred vote of
52 per cent to the Australian Labor Party, and 48 per cent to the Liberal–National
Party.
The 2019 election is on, but to look forward, we always need to look back, and we go far back into the archives to look at the events of elections from 1992 and 1993.
It’s the end of the first week of the federal election campaign
and, already, we have the mainstream media telling everyone within earshot that
this is a ‘boring’ campaign, and the electorate is ‘disillusioned’ and ‘jaded’
with the two main political parties.
Some election campaigns are fairly straightforward. The prime minister sets a date, and both parties sell their policies. There’s a lot of talk about economic management, fairness, justice, some international relations and, maybe some specific issue concerning the electorate. The major candidates tend to be pretty honest and the public makes a choice one way or the other, usually returning the government of the day.
It’s
always unwise to make predictions about who is likely to win any election, but
if Scott Morrison does end up on the victory podium on the evening of 18 May,
it will be one of the most unlikely victories seen in Australian politics.
Conventional wisdom suggests there are two types of Budgets: one that’s in surplus, and one that’s in deficit.
There are two polls out today,
one showing good news for the government, the other showing bad news for the
government. How can this be the case? It’s all in the different methodologies
used by the respective pollsters and a statistical item called the ‘margin of
error’.
The New Politics podcast, presented by Eddy Jokovich and
Fifty people. That’s a large number of people,
and it’s still difficult to comprehend this is how many died in the
Christchurch shootings last Friday. The Islamic community is still grieving
from the gravity of the events, but it’s best not to let up in the quest to
apportion responsibility for one of worst peace-time gun massacres in history.
Who can we blame for the Christchurch killings?