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Macro Afternoon

February 21, 2025 - 17:30 -- Admin

Its all about Japan today as the latest inflation figures come in hot, sending a flurry of activity across the Japanese government bond market and Yen sharply lower as the BOJ indicates more rate rises are needed. Other Asian share markets are doing well although local shares are still flopping around due to the latest

Reserve Bank ends New Zealand’s house price crash

February 21, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

The Real Estate Institute of New Zealand’s (REINZ) house price index (HPI) for January was released this week. Nationally, home values declined by 0.2% in January to be 1.4% lower year-on-year. The seasonally adjusted HPI recorded a slight increase of 0.1% in January, which was lower than the 0.7% rise in January 2024. After experiencing one

Coffee inflation will bankrupt cafes

February 21, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

The latest insolvency data from the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) shows that 1,420 businesses in the hospitality industry became insolvent in the first seven months of 2024-25. This represented a 62% increase on the 877 hospitality businesses that went under in the same period of 2023-24 and 156% higher than the same time

Infrastructure waste buries Victorians in debt

February 21, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Victoria’s public debt is already the highest in the country, and the state has the lowest credit rating. One of the causes of Victoria’s ballooning debt is the state’s wasteful infrastructure splurge, which frequently involves massive projects that do not stand up to critical examination. Victoria has recently seen cost overruns totalling $2.5 billion for

Chinese house prices bounce along the bottom

February 21, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

Chinese house prices are bouncing along the bottom. Goldman. The National Bureau of Statistics’ 70-city house price data suggest the weighted average property price in the primary market decreased by 0.8% mom annualized in January after seasonal adjustments. Both Tier-1 and Tier-2 cities continued to show sequential increases in primary home prices in January, albeit

IEEFA: Reserve gas now

February 21, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Via Institute for Energy Economics & Financial Analysis. The worsening supply-demand outlook in Australia’s eastern states has prompted renewed calls for increased gas production. However, such measures have consistently failed to address the longer-term risk of supply gaps, and policy solutions should be further explored instead. Most notably, while LNG producers prioritise exports to take

NDIS jobs boom crashes productivity

February 21, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Deloitte Access Economics has released its latest Employment Forecasts, which noted that “the market sector workforce experienced modest employment growth in 2024 with most job growth very much sponsored by the public sector”. “The non-market sector (health care, education, and public admin) drove most of the growth in the past year. An ageing population has

Jim Chalmers insults Australian renters

February 21, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The gall of Treasurer Jim Chalmers is unbelievable. Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to cut the official cash rate on Tuesday, Chalmers gave a “blunt” warning to landlords to pass the mortgage interest savings onto tenants. “When interest rates are cut, that has a broader impact than just people with a mortgage”,

Major bank: Wages smashed by immigration

February 21, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

Andrew Boak of Goldman Sachs should be RBA governor.  Although he is not a liar, so that rules him out. On unemployment. The upside surprise in employment and participation suggests the unusual post-pandemic increase in workers changing jobs or taking extended leave over the summer holiday period is normalizing back to pre-pandemic trends earlier than

Melbourne’s office market is a ghost town

February 21, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

Melbourne’s office market has the highest vacancy rate in the nation. According to JLL Research, Melbourne’s CBD office vacancy rate increased to almost 20% in Q3 2024, well above the other capital cities, which recorded falling vacancy rates. Separate data from the Property Council of Australia (PCA) showed that Melbourne’s office vacancy rate was 18%

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