Prior to the election, I drew attention to the differences between my calculations and those of the AEC for a number of non-classic seats that gained new areas during the redistribution. Originally I had a list of 14 affected seats, but one of them (Nicholls) has reverted to a classic contest.
In a hopeful turn of events, the Albanese government is considering imposing an East Coast gas reservation policy. Via the AFR: The Albanese government is likely to consider developing an east coast gas reservation as part of a sweeping review of the country’s energy system. Energy industry sources speaking on the condition of anonymity said
Overnight saw the Trump regime’s tariffs put back in place on appeal, causing more indecision and uncertainty in risk markets coupled with a series of bad domestic economic news for the USA. Corporate profits are down in their fastest drop in over 5 years while GDP estimates are for at least a 0.2% contraction as
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Partial data received so far suggest that Australia’s economy will post only modest growth in Q1 2025 and is likely to show a negative per capita GDP print. The Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) Household Spending Indicator (MHSI) recorded zero growth in volume terms in Q1 2025. The latest ABS labour force release suggested that
The Productivity Commission (PC) released a research report entitled “Productivity before and after COVID-19”, which claims that Australia experienced a ‘productivity bubble’ during the pandemic, in which measured labour productivity rose to a record high between January 2020 and March 2022 before returning to pre-pandemic levels in June 2023. The PC claims that Australia is
The big news of the day is a possible reversal of ALL of the Trump regime’s tariffs (except steel/aluminium) due to a court order, although it remains to be seen if Don Taco will actually abide by the legal decision. This has seen a big relief rally across all risk markets and with the USD
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Deutsche has an interesting breakdown of some of the world’s largest trade surpluses and where the money ends up. Yesterday Japan’s Ministry of Finance reported that Japan had lost its top spot as the world’s largest creditor nation to Germany, for the first time since 1991. This made some headlines in Germany, and was hardly
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Australia’s futures market expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to deliver another three 0.25% interest rate cuts this year, which would take the official cash rate down to 3.1%. The latest Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) from the RBA seems to support this notion, given that it significantly lowered its estimate of the neutral
The ferrous complex is unwinding. Steel is under the pump. Bloomberg. Prices of a key Chinese steel product used in construction were at their lowest since 2017 as the world’s biggest market for the metal grappled with a massive glut. Reinforcement bar — or rebar for short — is a benchmark for China’s traditional steel
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