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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 14:00 Source

This is an important story. The Australian. The US Defence Department is aiming to integrate Australia and other Asian allies into a stronger collective defence framework focused on deterring Beijing and safeguarding Taiwan, warning that partners in the Indo-Pacific must not “sit back while the ­Europeans are stepping up.” As Canberra and Washington prepare to

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has launched a preemptive attack on moves to curb investor tax concessions, such as negative gearing and the 50% capital gains tax (CGT) discount. Chief economist Tim Reardon claimed that “investors are vital to the goal of increasing housing stock”, claiming that “investors typically supply around a third of all

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Thank god, other states are fighting off Victoria disease. A controversial plan to stave off looming east coast gas shortfalls by underwriting new LNG import terminals has been indefinitely delayed as interstate disagreements and a broader overhaul of the market could push back the need for overseas sources. The Victorian-led proposal, which has yet to

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:27 Source

The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), released on Tuesday, forecast that the unemployment rate would decline back to 4.2% before rising gradually to 4.3% over the forward estimates. Today, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the July Labour Force survey, which posted a bounce back in

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:00 Source

At the end of 2024, CoreLogic (now Cotality) estimated that Australians were paying a record percentage of their income to rent the median property. According to Cotality’s most recent quarterly rental report, national median rents have risen by 43% over the last five years, causing the average tenant household to pay an additional $10,350 per

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The robots are all in on the AI bubble, but humans are not. The Market Ear. Much more room Equity allocation according to FMS has risen, but we are way below extreme levels. Source: BofA Still depressed Goldman’s equity sentiment indicator of positioning remains depressed. Source: GS Refusing Non dealers continue to refuse buying the

The post AI bubble to the moon! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Last week, the ABC reported that within the Albanese government there were two very different approaches to the productivity round table scheduled for later this month. “One camp doubts that a cautious Albanese has much inclination to take on a controversial new policy—and questions whether “consensus” can be achieved with business and unions appearing poles

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous complex continues on its merry seasonal way. We ought to be near some kind of top here. The price is high enough to draw Indian ore back into the seaborne market, which will immediately have to be pushed back out again once Simandou starts up in November. The seasonal patterns, which are very

The post Iron ore bumps the upper limit appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Australia’s economy suffered a lost decade in the 2010s amid the collapse in per capita GDP and productivity growth. This decade is shaping up as another lost decade, with the economy trapped in a long per capita recession amid the worst labour productivity growth in the advanced world. The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP)

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:30 Source

We’ve gone from avoiding the only productivity question that matters, the impacts of mass immigration on capital shallowing. To a vested interest scramble. To the do-nothing PM shutting it all down. It’s a farce, as it was always going to be, and now we’re focused on just one thing: meeting the centrally planned dwelling construction

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