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Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Victoria is the nation’s most indebted state with the lowest credit rating. Global rating agencies have reaffirmed Victoria’s AA credit rating, although the state government has been put on notice to reduce debt, rein in operating costs, and show fiscal restraint ahead of the November 2026 election. On Wednesday, the Victorian Department of Treasury and

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 11:45 Source

The Pilbara killer is here. A Guinean government minister, meanwhile, said the West African country would inaugurate rail and port facilities for the giant Simandou iron ore project on Nov. 11. The locomotives are arriving. SIMFER, the joint venture of the government of Guinea, Rio Tinto, and the Chinalco-led CIOH consortium, has celebrated the arrival of the

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Recently, a reader shared with me the statistics on the level of prosecutions against fraudsters within the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS). The internal reporting of the National Disability Insurance Agency (NDIA), the government authority overseeing the scheme, found that in the June quarter of 2024, there were more than 7,000 tip-offs alleging fraud. Of

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THE BLOT REPORT Friday, October 17, 2025 - 11:04 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Compare the Market’s annual Household Budget Barometer report shows that many Australians are continuing to feel the strain of rising living costs. Only 7% of the 3,000-plus respondents feel that the Australian economy has improved over the last year, while just 22% feel optimistic about the economic future. Shadow Treasurer Ted O’Brien says the figures

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xkcd.com Friday, October 17, 2025 - 11:00 Source

If you don't know where you are on Earth, the angle of satellite dishes can help constrain your latitude. If some of them are pointing straight up, you're probably near the Equator, right under the ring.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Under progressive leadership regimes, the Australian central bank has become ever more corrupt and unable to speak truth to power, especially when it comes to the single most important macroeconomic input into the economy: immigration. Just this week, we had another analysis from RBA boffin Sarah Hunter, which refused to acknowledge the obvious: the immigration-led

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 10:00 Source

This week, two polls were released showing that Australians overwhelmingly want significantly lower immigration. First, Resolve Political Monitor released polling of 1,800 Aussies from across the political spectrum on October 7 and 12. The group was told Australia’s current migration policies allow 316,000 people into the country and 185,000 to permanently settle in the country

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The ferrous complex is falling apart; it just doesn’t know it yet. Steel prices are collapsing. The spread to iron ore is eviscerating mill profits as inventories pile up. This is both rebar and, more importantly, HRC. It’s so bad that the need for a New Year steel restock is nearly gone. Mills are going

The post The leverage bomb holding up iron ore appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street was slammed lower mainly led by financials but also small stocks as trade war tensions are keeping most risk markets contained. The USD continues to decline with Yen and Euro both pushing to new weekly highs while the Australian dollar failed to get back above the 65 cent level due to yesterday’s release

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 17, 2025 - 09:00 Source

The Market Ear wraps us up. Welcome to extreme fear The problem is we have not seen CNN’s greed/fear index hit extreme fear territory and SPX this close to ATHs (chart 2). Source: CNN Source: Macromicro Imagine regional… …goes a bit more “global”? SPX vs. KRE gap getting rather wide. Source: LSEG Workspace Huge gap

The post Is the AI bubble about to burst? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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