Risk markets are still running on hopium as US officials admit there’s no talking going on whatsoever with China (who are having a week long holiday anyway – call back later Donny!) while the Bank of Japan held fire in today’s meeting which sent Yen selling off and stocks lifting higher. The latest trade data
The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.
Commerzebank with the note. Manufacturing PMIs showed initial damage The official manufacturing PMI fell to contraction territory at 49.0 in April from 50.5 in March, the lowest since December 2023 (Chart 1). The decline was due to a drop in production and new orders which both fell into contraction territory. In particular, new export orders
The post Tariff shock begins in China appeared first on MacroBusiness.
Professor Peter McDonald is Australia’s leading flip-flopper on immigration (for example, see here, here and here). In 1999, Peter McDonald co-authored a parliamentary research paper, which concluded that it is “demographic nonsense to believe that immigration can help to keep our population young”, claimed that “levels of annual net migration above 80,000 become increasingly ineffective
Join us in this week’s podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, and Chief Economist Leith van Onselen as they examine the economic impacts of Dutton vs Albanese vs a hung parliament. Do you need to position your portfolio ahead of the election? Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up on the
Ferrous complex no bueno. Strangely, the indicators are going the other way, with the steel PMI firming. And other marginal indicators like steel order books doing OK too. Goldman. Commentary on 2025 sales stabilization is becoming more prevalent, albeit divergent across players: (i)A key pillar of the steel structure sector order growth turning positive in
The post Iron ore no beuno appeared first on MacroBusiness.
Billionaire Meriton founder ‘Highrise’ Harry Triguboff is the master of manipulation. For decades, Triguboff has persuaded politicians to implement policies favourable to his financial interests, including mass immigration. The interview below from 2006 illustrates this point, with Triguboff arguing that Sydney’s population needed to reach 20 million by 2050, with Australia’s population at 150 million.
Primary votes for major parties have hit a record low, and they may break that record this weekend. There are also more crossbenchers in the House of Representatives than ever before, with numerous other credible candidates threatening to produce an even larger crossbench in the new parliament. Certainly there is a lot of talk about a hung parliament.
But it would be wrong to assume that we have seen the last majority government, or that multi-party majorities in the House will be our universal experience.
The Market Ear on the rally. Not too bad The 6 day SPX streak has actually been rather impressive. As John Flood writes: “Since 1970, S&P 500 up 6 days in a row with returns of over 7% has only happened 12 times. Post yesterday’s close we locked in # 13. We are due for a
The post Rallying on fumes appeared first on MacroBusiness.
The latest State of the Land Report 2025 from the Urban Development Institute of Australia (UDIA) forecasts that the nation’s housing crisis will worsen as demand from population growth (immigration) continues to outrun housing construction: UDIA’s long-run analysis of national population and dwelling growth highlights a serious divergence in new dwelling supply not keeping pace