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MacroBusiness Friday, July 11, 2025 - 12:00 Source

With the release of the latest U.S. employment figures last week, a still relatively robust American labour market in aggregate was revealed. In the minutes and hours that followed, analysts began to put together the pieces as to why it had remained so strong: non-market job creation. For those perhaps not familiar with the term,

The post America’s taxpayer funded jobs boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, July 11, 2025 - 11:30 Source

At the recent federal election, the Albanese government was reelected with by far the best result for a first-term government in the nation’s post-World War 2 history. Such was the failure of the Opposition, led by Peter Dutton, to present an alternative case for its leadership to the Australian people that the Coalition now holds

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Your Democracy Friday, July 11, 2025 - 11:11 Source

 

Ukraine’s Vladimir Zelensky claimed he had no idea about the atrocities committed by the Ukrainian Nazi collaborators during the World War II until confronted on the issue by Poland’s president, Andrzej Duda, the latter has told the Polish RMF24 broadcaster.

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MacroBusiness Friday, July 11, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Chinese inflation is sinking again. The CPI is stalled while the PPI gallops backwards. CPI: +0.1% yoy (+1.9% mom annualised*) in June vs. GS: -0.1% yoy, Bloomberg consensus: -0.1% yoy; May: -0.1% yoy (+0.5% mom annualised*). Food: -0.3% yoy in June (+6.2% mom annualised*) vs. -0.4% yoy in May. Non-food: +0.1% yoy in June (+1.1%

The post Here comes the next Chinese yawnulus appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, July 11, 2025 - 10:30 Source

When Cotality starts talking about specific suburbs, you know the boom is not here yet. Almost 45% of all suburbs across Australia are now at a record high in value, according to Cotality’s latest Housing Chart Pack. The suburb-level analysis reveals the broad-based nature of the current housing upswing, with values across 44.8% of the 3,722 suburbs

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MacroBusiness Friday, July 11, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Market Ear on crushed volatility. The rocket fuel is running out. Kill volatility The race to reset VIX and MOVE has been strong, but don’t forget volatility is a mean reverting asset. Source: LSEG Workspace Natural floor Using options for directional plays is attractive again… irrespective if you are bullish or bearish. VIX at

The post Stocks only go down appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, July 11, 2025 - 10:00 Source

That was quicker than usual! The cabin's sprinkler system often makes it really hard to keep anything lit.

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The Tally Room Friday, July 11, 2025 - 09:30 Source

I wrote a blog post last weekend about how the NSW government has been sneaking in a change to how council vacancies are filled into a bill that is billed as primarily ending the privatisation of council election administration.

Since then I’ve had the chance to do a bit more analysis on the topic and I wanted to provide more data to inform the debate. This was too late to be included in my inquiry submission so hopefully it can be found useful by MPs anyway.

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MacroBusiness Friday, July 11, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is up and EUR down. AUD doesn’t care because Chyna! Lead boots are not so persuaded. Oil sense, gold trouble. Metals scream Chyna! Even big miners! EM meh. Yields edged up. Stocks stalled. Chyna! is going to yawnulate again! And consolidate! No it isn’t. But we can enjoy the rally while it lasts. Oddly,

The post Australian dollar rockets on China hope appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, July 11, 2025 - 09:00 Source

New record highs for Wall Street and Bitcoin as the latest US weekly initial jobless numbers weren’t as high as expected, giving USD another lift against most of the undollars. However, the Australian dollar rallied on more Chinese stimulus speculation while Lots of auctions in the US Treasury market saw 10 year yields dip lower

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, July 11, 2025 - 08:35 Source

This is the way the world ends, not with a bang but a flooding: With apologies to T. S. Eliot

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Your Democracy Friday, July 11, 2025 - 06:46 Source

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