Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
Peter Martin Wednesday, June 1, 2022 - 13:52 Source

A recession in the US usually brings on a recession in the rest of the world, although not always in Australia.

Australia has escaped such a recession twice in the past 50 years.

We avoided the early-2000s so-called tech-wreck recession, and we avoided the so-called “great recession” during the global financial crisis.

Amid ominous talk about yet another US-led global recession, there’s a chance we could escape for a third time.

Read more Views: 32
Tuesday, May 31, 2022 - 20:39

The Victorian Labor government has done some fantastic work, but principles have to count for something.

Just for the record, I canceled my membership to the Victorian Labor Party on the 13th May.

Those of you who know me well will know that this hasn’t been a decision I’ve taken lightly, however under the circumstances, it’s a decision that was easy to make.

Read more Views: 78
WixxyLeaks Tuesday, May 31, 2022 - 20:39 Source

The Victorian Labor government has done some fantastic work, but principles have to count for something.

Just for the record, I canceled my membership to the Victorian Labor Party on the 13th May.

Those of you who know me well will know that this hasn’t been a decision I’ve taken lightly, however under the circumstances, it’s a decision that was easy to make.

Read more Views: 143
Peter Martin Wednesday, May 25, 2022 - 13:45 Source

Stand by for something “reckless and dangerous”.

That’s what former prime minister Scott Morrison said Prime Minister Anthony Albanese would be if he asked the Fair Work Commission to grant a wage rise big enough to cover inflation. It would make Albanese a “loose unit” on the economy.

Read more Views: 32
oecomuse Friday, May 20, 2022 - 22:43 Source

You may find this hard to believe, but the 2016 federal election campaign was a full fortnight longer than this one. I remember journalists from the campaign bus complaining afterwards that Malcolm Turnbull was moribund and lazy, booking a single daily event.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, May 18, 2022 - 13:05 Source

The last week of campaigns used to be frantic, behind the scenes. In public, right up until the final week, the leaders would make all sorts of promises, many of them expensive, with nary a mention of the spending cuts or tax increases that would be needed to pay for them.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, May 11, 2022 - 12:36 Source

The Reserve Bank is pushing up interest rates to take money out of our hands.

The first increase in the current round will add about A$65 a month to the cost of paying off a $500,000 mortgage.

The second will add a bit more. If, as the bank’s forecasts assume, there are another four such increases this year, that’s a further $275 a month, and so on.

Read more Views: 31
Peter Martin Wednesday, May 4, 2022 - 12:30 Source

One of the stranger things about the Reserve Bank’s announcement of why it’s lifting interest rates by 0.25 percentage points is that it suggests inflation will come down by itself.

“A further rise in inflation is expected in the near term,” the RBA says, “but as supply-side disruptions are resolved, inflation is expected to decline back towards the target range of 2-3%.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, April 27, 2022 - 12:25 Source

There are four economic wildcards between now and the election, and we know exactly when each will be played.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, April 20, 2022 - 12:16 Source

This election will be won by the Coalition and Prime Minister Scott Morrison if the economic models perform as expected – and they usually do.

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oecomuse Wednesday, April 13, 2022 - 23:10 Source

Yes hello long time blogger, first time in almost two years post. In late 2020 my life (and writing) became consumed by completing a doctorate, which was eventually conferred in September 2021. I even popped on a floppy hat in December last year.

Read more Views: 70
Peter Martin Wednesday, April 13, 2022 - 12:13 Source

When Labor leader Anthony Albanese couldn’t say whether the unemployment rate was 5% or 4% on Monday, he might have had a point.

It’s 4%. But for a decade – the entire decade leading up to COVID – it never strayed too far from five-point-something per cent.

Read more Views: 30
Peter Martin Monday, April 11, 2022 - 21:05 Source

Offered a menu of issues to choose from as the most important in the May 21 election, Australia’s top economists have overwhelmingly zeroed in on one.

Read more Views: 32
Peter Martin Wednesday, April 6, 2022 - 21:01 Source

One of the strangest, certainly one of the hardest to justify, measures in last week’s budget was called “supporting retirees”.

A better title would have been “supercharging the wealth of those retirees who already have more than enough to live on”.

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Peter Martin Tuesday, March 29, 2022 - 20:53 Source

Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

So good, and so unexpected, has been Australia’s economic improvement over the past three months, it has wiped one-third of the projected 2022-23 budget deficit.
Or it would have, had the government not decided to give away almost half (45%) the windfall.

Read more Views: 29
WixxyLeaks Friday, March 25, 2022 - 19:53 Source

Labor’s Senate leadership under attack from within as three leading Senator’s are smeared in the ugliest factional fight to date from a repeat offending sub-faction of the Victorian Right. So what’s it all about and who’s involved?

Another Labor factional shitfight. What’s new eh?

Read more Views: 31
Peter Martin Wednesday, March 23, 2022 - 18:20 Source

The biggest question relating to the management of the economy right now has nothing to do with next week’s budget. It has everything to do with the Reserve Bank and the board meetings that will follow it.

The question facing the board – the biggest there is when it comes to how the next few years are going to play out – is whether to hike interest rates just because prices are climbing.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, March 16, 2022 - 18:11 Source

Cutting petrol tax to bring down the cost of living used to be the political version of a joke. Failed US presidential candidates John McCain and Hillary Clinton both tried it in 2008.

Read more Views: 39
Peter Martin Wednesday, March 9, 2022 - 18:11 Source

The West is arraying financial weapons never deployed before against a country of Russia’s size, forsaking some of the principles that have defined it.

Part of what has defined the West – and most of what has been the world’s engine of prosperity for the past century and a half – has been the free flow of goods across borders, a working banking system, and property rights.

Read more Views: 31
Monday, March 7, 2022 - 18:56

I’ve spoken about what I call “strategisation” before.

Read more Views: 681
Hoyden About Town Monday, March 7, 2022 - 09:37 Source

Sydney Harbour Bridge span is hardly visible through raindrops on a window.Rainy Sydney in 2011, much the same now

In Sydney right now anyway. How about where you are, everybody?

I hope all hoydens and hoyden-adjacent folks are safe and sound during the latest manifestations of the climate emergency.

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Sunday, March 6, 2022 - 16:04
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Sunday, March 6, 2022 - 11:01
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Friday, March 4, 2022 - 17:19
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Peter Martin Wednesday, March 2, 2022 - 18:06 Source

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Peter Martin Wednesday, February 23, 2022 - 23:19 Source

We are about to find out whether we’ll lose a tax break worth up to $1,080 a year.

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Peter Martin Monday, February 21, 2022 - 23:11 Source

Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

Australia’s leading economists have overwhelmingly endorsed a return to the highest immigration intake on record, saying Australia should aim for at least 190,000 migrants per year as it opens its borders, up from the target of 160,000 per year set ahead of COVID.

Read more Views: 30
Peter Martin Wednesday, February 9, 2022 - 21:16 Source

Sometimes the best things you can do are invisible.

Such as fighting cholera by ensuring drinking water wasn’t contaminated by sewage, as happened in London in the 1840s.

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Friday, February 4, 2022 - 18:43
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Peter Martin Wednesday, February 2, 2022 - 23:03 Source

What’s the boldest thing the Morrison government could do in next month’s budget?

It would be to forecast an unemployment rate below 4% (a rate of three-point-something), then to pledge to go further, to two-point-something.

Read more Views: 31

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