Peter Martin
Wednesday, June 1, 2022 - 13:52
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A recession in the US usually brings on a recession in the rest of the world, although not always in Australia. Australia has escaped such a recession twice in the past 50 years. We avoided the early-2000s so-called tech-wreck recession, and we avoided the so-called “great recession” during the global financial crisis. Amid ominous talk about yet another US-led global recession, there’s a chance we could escape for a third time. |
Tuesday, May 31, 2022 - 20:39
The Victorian Labor government has done some fantastic work, but principles have to count for something. Just for the record, I canceled my membership to the Victorian Labor Party on the 13th May. Those of you who know me well will know that this hasn’t been a decision I’ve taken lightly, however under the circumstances, it’s a decision that was easy to make. |
WixxyLeaks
Tuesday, May 31, 2022 - 20:39
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The Victorian Labor government has done some fantastic work, but principles have to count for something. Just for the record, I canceled my membership to the Victorian Labor Party on the 13th May. Those of you who know me well will know that this hasn’t been a decision I’ve taken lightly, however under the circumstances, it’s a decision that was easy to make. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, May 25, 2022 - 13:45
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Stand by for something “reckless and dangerous”. That’s what former prime minister Scott Morrison said Prime Minister Anthony Albanese would be if he asked the Fair Work Commission to grant a wage rise big enough to cover inflation. It would make Albanese a “loose unit” on the economy. |
oecomuse
Friday, May 20, 2022 - 22:43
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You may find this hard to believe, but the 2016 federal election campaign was a full fortnight longer than this one. I remember journalists from the campaign bus complaining afterwards that Malcolm Turnbull was moribund and lazy, booking a single daily event. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, May 18, 2022 - 13:05
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The last week of campaigns used to be frantic, behind the scenes. In public, right up until the final week, the leaders would make all sorts of promises, many of them expensive, with nary a mention of the spending cuts or tax increases that would be needed to pay for them. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, May 11, 2022 - 12:36
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The Reserve Bank is pushing up interest rates to take money out of our hands. The first increase in the current round will add about A$65 a month to the cost of paying off a $500,000 mortgage. The second will add a bit more. If, as the bank’s forecasts assume, there are another four such increases this year, that’s a further $275 a month, and so on. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, May 4, 2022 - 12:30
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One of the stranger things about the Reserve Bank’s announcement of why it’s lifting interest rates by 0.25 percentage points is that it suggests inflation will come down by itself. “A further rise in inflation is expected in the near term,” the RBA says, “but as supply-side disruptions are resolved, inflation is expected to decline back towards the target range of 2-3%. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, April 27, 2022 - 12:25
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There are four economic wildcards between now and the election, and we know exactly when each will be played. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, April 20, 2022 - 12:16
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This election will be won by the Coalition and Prime Minister Scott Morrison if the economic models perform as expected – and they usually do. |
oecomuse
Wednesday, April 13, 2022 - 23:10
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Yes hello long time blogger, first time in almost two years post. In late 2020 my life (and writing) became consumed by completing a doctorate, which was eventually conferred in September 2021. I even popped on a floppy hat in December last year. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, April 13, 2022 - 12:13
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Peter Martin
Monday, April 11, 2022 - 21:05
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Offered a menu of issues to choose from as the most important in the May 21 election, Australia’s top economists have overwhelmingly zeroed in on one. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, April 6, 2022 - 21:01
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One of the strangest, certainly one of the hardest to justify, measures in last week’s budget was called “supporting retirees”. A better title would have been “supercharging the wealth of those retirees who already have more than enough to live on”. |
Peter Martin
Tuesday, March 29, 2022 - 20:53
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Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND So good, and so unexpected, has been Australia’s economic improvement over the past three months, it has wiped one-third of the projected 2022-23 budget deficit. |
WixxyLeaks
Friday, March 25, 2022 - 19:53
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Labor’s Senate leadership under attack from within as three leading Senator’s are smeared in the ugliest factional fight to date from a repeat offending sub-faction of the Victorian Right. So what’s it all about and who’s involved? Another Labor factional shitfight. What’s new eh? |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, March 23, 2022 - 18:20
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The biggest question relating to the management of the economy right now has nothing to do with next week’s budget. It has everything to do with the Reserve Bank and the board meetings that will follow it. The question facing the board – the biggest there is when it comes to how the next few years are going to play out – is whether to hike interest rates just because prices are climbing. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, March 16, 2022 - 18:11
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Cutting petrol tax to bring down the cost of living used to be the political version of a joke. Failed US presidential candidates John McCain and Hillary Clinton both tried it in 2008. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, March 9, 2022 - 18:11
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The West is arraying financial weapons never deployed before against a country of Russia’s size, forsaking some of the principles that have defined it. Part of what has defined the West – and most of what has been the world’s engine of prosperity for the past century and a half – has been the free flow of goods across borders, a working banking system, and property rights. |
Monday, March 7, 2022 - 18:56
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Hoyden About Town
Monday, March 7, 2022 - 09:37
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In Sydney right now anyway. How about where you are, everybody? I hope all hoydens and hoyden-adjacent folks are safe and sound during the latest manifestations of the climate emergency. |
Sunday, March 6, 2022 - 16:04
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Sunday, March 6, 2022 - 11:01
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Friday, March 4, 2022 - 17:19
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Peter Martin
Wednesday, March 2, 2022 - 18:06
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Peter Martin
Wednesday, February 23, 2022 - 23:19
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We are about to find out whether we’ll lose a tax break worth up to $1,080 a year. |
Peter Martin
Monday, February 21, 2022 - 23:11
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Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND Australia’s leading economists have overwhelmingly endorsed a return to the highest immigration intake on record, saying Australia should aim for at least 190,000 migrants per year as it opens its borders, up from the target of 160,000 per year set ahead of COVID. |
Peter Martin
Wednesday, February 9, 2022 - 21:16
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Sometimes the best things you can do are invisible. Such as fighting cholera by ensuring drinking water wasn’t contaminated by sewage, as happened in London in the 1840s. |
Friday, February 4, 2022 - 18:43
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Peter Martin
Wednesday, February 2, 2022 - 23:03
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What’s the boldest thing the Morrison government could do in next month’s budget? It would be to forecast an unemployment rate below 4% (a rate of three-point-something), then to pledge to go further, to two-point-something. |