statistics

Grade nine stats

The Blair/Bolt Watch Project - July 4, 2008 - 11:33am

Guest post by Andrew Rose

Just thought I’d bring this comedy to everyone’s attention, and in particular Andrew Bolt’s skills in “graphical analysis” - ie: picking two arbitrary start and end points to support his point of view (completely ignoring the fact that these graphs indicate an increase in the mean over time). Read more »

Running the Numbers

Simon Jackman's Blog - June 4, 2008 - 4:19pm

Cool renderings of large numbers by Chris Jordon, brought to my attention by Jean-Pierre Khoury.

Brad Efron’s 70th birthday celebrations

Simon Jackman's Blog - May 19, 2008 - 5:35pm

I wonder if Brad wanted to be reminded of this milestone, but Brad Efron’s 70th birthday was celebrated with an afternoon of short talks by various luminaries. I caught talks by Carl Morris and Trevor Hastie. Read more »

summer teaching

Simon Jackman's Blog - April 26, 2008 - 3:59am

I am doing the Spatial Voting module at the Washington University in St Louis edition of EITM (Empirical Implications of Formal Models); June 16-18, 2008. Read more »

Latinos and the poor, computer/Internet use

Simon Jackman's Blog - June 27, 2008 - 2:46am

Driving to work this morning I heard that a Public Policy Institute of California study has found that just 58% of Latinos in California use computers, and only 50% of Latinos are Internet users. Apparently that 58% number is down from 64% in a previous study. Read more »

superdelegates for Obama

Simon Jackman's Blog - June 4, 2008 - 5:48pm

The New York Times continues its cute series of election graphs. Here is the super-delegate story, rendered as an annotated time series. Read more »

Obama-Clinton and racial resentment

Simon Jackman's Blog - May 26, 2008 - 12:53pm

I caught a snippet of Meet The Press this morning, where the Newsweek guy made a reference to a poll they commissioned (from Princeton Survey Research Associates). They looked at racial resentment as a predictor of Obama-vs-Clinton support. I thought I’d post some similar findings that Lynn Vavreck and I saw in the March wave of our Cooperative Campaign Analysis Project, a 6 wave panel study we’re running through YouGov America (Polimetrix). Read more »

test your political knowledge

Simon Jackman's Blog - April 29, 2008 - 9:08am

See the scan of the napkin (thumbnail, below; click on it for a bigger view).

A bunch of us were in a bar in Nashville TN, speculating on the proportion of the American population that could correctly identify the state in which Barack Obama spent most of his childhood.

See the proposed multiple choice survey question on the right; political scientists best guesses on the left. The guesses range from 11% (Larry Bartels) to 28% (Lynn Vavreck). I’m down for 18%. Read more »

linkage

Simon Jackman's Blog - April 24, 2008 - 4:59pm

1 of 3. My TA for 350C, Thomas Brambor alerted me to electoral-vote.com. It looks quite promising, especially the polling data in CSV format…!

2 of 3. Doug Rivers put me on to The Rather Difficult Font Game. I didn’t get a perfect score. Sniff. Read more »