US Politics

END GAME, EXIT STRATEGY

Duck Pond - May 15, 2008 - 4:24am

Unless something unexpected happens that denies rational calculation, the writing will be on the wall for Clinton after the primary voting on 20 May. The results are very predictable. If Washington is a guide, Oregon should go for Obama, and Kentucky, following Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana and West Virginia will give preference to Clinton.
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VICE PRESIDENT NOMINEES

Duck Pond - May 11, 2008 - 9:15pm

AFTER INDIANA

Duck Pond - May 8, 2008 - 2:18am

The North Carolina Democratic primary was a clear cut win by Obama by 12%. In a two candidate contest that seems very decisive. Some in the Clinton camp thought they had a chance of doing significantly better, and even winning. It is interesting to speculate as to how that misperception can occur. Good polling can be the necessary antidote to seen enthusiasm of the crowds. While, in my opinion, Clinton was phony, her play acting was good enough to work with the target audience who presumably identified with that persona. Read more »

Obama's Race Speech

Public Opinion - May 7, 2008 - 9:18am

This is Barak Obama's "A More Perfect Union" speech delivered at the Constitution Center Philadelphia, Pennsylvania in March 18, 2008. The text is here. It was a major speech.


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US Presidential primaries: Indiana

Public Opinion - May 5, 2008 - 9:28am

Will Obama deliver the knockout blow to Clinton in the forthcoming primaries in North Carolina and Indiana? Obama is expected to take North Carolina. If he can pick off Indiana - and its precious white working-class vote - then he could finally land Clinton a mortal blow. Read more »

COUNTRY ROAD

Duck Pond - May 14, 2008 - 2:29pm

They are just folks in West Virginia, and they would like Clinton to be president, or at least those voting in the Democratic primary have supported her by an overwhelming margin. Clinton gained a 66.1% to Obama 26.7% overall, and the best results I could see for Obama were in Wheeling which Clinton won convincingly by 59% to 37%, At least there is no candidate sexism in West Virginia. Kool Aid and country songs maybe:
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INDIANA OR BUST

Duck Pond - May 6, 2008 - 3:41am

Obama has a poll lead of 7 percent in North Carolina, so he is expected to win there, leaving Indiana and his support among “Euro-Americans”, and particularly the working class as critical to his chance of finally clinching the nomination. Similarly, if Clinton win significantly in Indiana and possibily take North Carolina her chances are substantially improved. Read more »

SOMALI PROTESTS

Duck Pond - May 5, 2008 - 4:35am

There are seemingly no boundaries for US missile attacks. In Dusamareb, I000 residents protested a US missile attack on a house in the Somali town, that killed at least ten people, including Aden Hashi Ayro, whom the US suspected was a leader of a group related to Al Qaeda. Prima facie such an attack would appear to constitute a war crime.

The BBC reports: Read more »