I spent 2015 thinking and writing about the future of warfare while working for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Specifically, I was tasked with figuring out how autonomous robotics could/would change warfare over the next twenty years, and how the US military could exploit that change.
Articles from Global Guerrillas
Germany needs young people. Its population is dwindling. It doesn't have enough of them to support a rapidly aging German population.
What is culture? In the broad sense, it's a way of life. More specifically, it's a basket of shared behaviors that determine how we solve problems, define success, and treat each other.
Estimate: 2030. About 15 years for this to become a truism. Amazingly fast given the magnitude of the change.
In the 19th and 20th century, illiteracy was seen as an inability to read or write. Illiteracy damaged your economic prospects and your ability to function in society as a whole.
With the arrival of the Internet (and the world of knowledge it connects you to), being illiterate is increasingly being seen as an inability to learn on your own.
All of the big tech companies are now open sourcing their AI (deep learning) software. They are also open sourcing the hardware designs of the machines needed to train the software.
That's a big deal. This new approach to AI is proving so powerful and useful, its use is growing exponentially (see image below).
Here's a simple question.
Is Islamic terrorism the product of:
Option A: A tiny, fringe element. Dead-enders. Crazies. -or-
Option B: A growing puritanical movement. Fanatics.
Before you answer this question, consider this.
The popular belief, from individuals to the government, is that option A is correct. This makes sense. More than a decade of experience "fighting" al Qaeda supports it.
There are two parts to the revolution in robotics we are seeing.
The first revolution in robotics is based on tech trends already underway.
The inflection point for this revolution occurred in 2001, when the standard computer chip exceeded the intelligence of an insect.
Scott Atran: I was just with the Saudi royal family and they were telling me that 700 Saudis have just joined ISIS in Libya.
Is ISIS the real source of Islamic terrorism?
No. ISIS is just a symptom.
The real source of Islamic terrorism is found in the the Gulf Kingdoms.