If you haven't been watching the Roger Pielke Jr train come of the rails and the carriages smashing into each other and exploding, I suggest you look at this post from James Annan:

Roger Pielke has been saying some truly bizarre and nonsensical things recently. The pick of the bunch IMO is this post. The underlying question is: Are the models consistent with the observations over the last 8 years?

Hey, hypothesis testing. First year stats stuff. So Annan carefully explains how it's done.

Marvel at Pielke Jr's response:

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