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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 18, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Market Ear leads us off. Delicate levels NASDAQ is trading right on the 50-day moving average. Friday saw a huge doji candle, indicating nobody is in control. Let’s see how this develops from here, but the longer-term trend line is a must-hold. Source: LSEG Workspace Relative tech stress VXN – VIX spread has shot

The post AI bubble quivers again appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 18, 2025 - 10:30 Source

With the release of the latest polling RedBridge, it was revealed that Labor now hold 51% of the votes of Gen Z, followed by the Greens with 24% of the vote. This compares with Labor securing 40.3% of the Gen Z vote at the ballot box at May’s federal election, with 27.2% for the Coalition

The post The coming war within the LNP appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 18, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Australia’s labour market has been gradually softening over the past year. This softening is evident in the gradual rise in Australia’s unemployment rate: As illustrated below by AMP chief economist Shane Oliver, the various measures of job openings have also weakened: Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors has published an interesting set of charts

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 18, 2025 - 09:30 Source

This is ridiculous in every way. In his first public interview on the issue, Australia Pacific LNG chief executive Dan Clark told The Australian that the east coast market’s chronic pressures cannot be solved with the series of band-aid solutions that have been applied over recent years. The call comes as the federal government prepares

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 18, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Its been a very cautious start to the trading week with more selling but not quite dumping on Wall Street overnight with a parallel selloff in Bitcoin not helping. The run back to USD continues even though without any key economic indicators being published by the Trump regime in the last two months, this looks

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 18, 2025 - 07:17 Source

DXY is back. AUD is sitting on big support. CNY serene. Gold no bueno. AI metals likewise. Miners fade. EM too. Junk sitting on big support, too. Yields down a smidge. Stocks no bueno. There was not much overnight to explain the strong DXY, other than traditional risk off. That the failure of risk sentiment

The post Australian dollar bashed by bursting bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 18, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Financial markets and many economists no longer believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will provide further interest rate relief. They now expect the official cash rate to remain on hold next year. I am less hawkish. I expect the unemployment rate to trend higher amid the rapid expansion of the labour market via

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 17, 2025 - 17:00 Source

Not a good start to the trading week with most Asian stock markets in the red as a slew of macro events and central bank speeches along with the restart of the US federal government is clouding the short term outlook. Currency markets appear nonchalant however with the Australian dollar holding somewhat steady but looking

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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