Last week’s Q1 national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that real per capita GDP fell by 0.2%. This represented the ninth decline in per capita GDP in eleven quarters. The following chart plots the current decline in real per capita GDP against prior episodes dating back to the beginning of
DXY can’t get off its knees. It’s not an AUD rocket so much as a tractor slogging it uphill. The big short is excellent support. Lead boots OK too. Machines are into oil. Metals no bueno. Fugly miners. EM thinks it can. Junk funk. Yields sticky. Stocks only go up. Nothing much has changed. The
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I'm in the middle of a five-week treatment for some kind of skin cancer on my chest. It's a topical cream. I have to rub it in twice a day and it burns away a couple of layers of skin over the course of the month taking with it whatever cancerous little nasties were hiding within the epidermis.
I've gone through this treatment once before, but that was a couple of years ago and my vague memories of how unpleasant it was had become vague enough for me to let the dermatologist talk me into another go-around.
The first session following the release of the latest monthly US jobs print is usually benign and that’s what we had across most risk markets overnight as speculation about what the Federal Reserve will do until the next NFP print calmed down, sending the USD slightly lower against the majors. Uncertainty over trade deals kept
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Gerard Minack destroys Australia’s sick economy. Australia remains stuck in a macro rut. Low investment and fast population growth prevent capital deepening and productivity growth. The result is stagnant real incomes and falling per capita GDP. This malaise is also reflected in anaemic corporate earnings, but not in the equity market’s premium valuation. The RBA
According to the OECD, Australia has the smallest manufacturing sector relative to its economy in the developed world. As a result, Australia is also the least self-sufficient economy in the developed world. The latest Harvard Atlas of Economic Complexity, which measures the diversity and knowledge intensity of a country’s export mix, ranked Australia 102nd out of
Asian share markets are having a buoyant session across the region on the back of the “just okay” US jobs report from Friday night and some further indication that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep easing while the ECB and BOE look set to finish or have already done so. This has also given
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All one really needs to be seen to be smart is Australia’s is to be loudest. That is the repuation at RBA press conferences of Warren Hogan, bullhawk and bullhorn. He has been Australia’s loudest and most persistent bullhawk. Until now. …at the heart of our productivity problem is a collapse in the efficiency of
The waste of space formerly known as the media had a good laugh at your expense over the weekend, that you can still afford or want to pay $7 for a coffee. SMH. Coffee roasters and baristas are the unsung heroes of Sydney hospitality. It takes a special person – part scientist, part artist, and
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Friday night saw the release of the latest US jobs print – the non-farm payrolls or NFP for May – which came in on expectations although revisions and internal numbers show building weakness from the start of the year. Wall Street didn’t care and bid across the board mainly due to relief that it wasn’t
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The Abanese government this week looked set to make some sensible policy compromises before performing a 180-degree turn and fumbling the ball. Gas Policy: The Rudd/Gillard Labor government in the early 2010s made the fateful decision to approve LNG exports out of Gladstone, QLD, without requiring gas producers to supply the domestic market first. This
The Albanese government has engaged in a full-court press of housing disinformation. Last week, Labor’s new Productivity Minister Andrew Leigh wrote the following spin in The AFR: “The federal government is doing our part. Through the National Housing Accord, we’re working with the states and territories to build 1.2 million homes over five years. We’ve
Picture this. Our world. This is the world that the average Australian lives in. They drive basic cars, they pay rates, registrations, and energy bills, they have kids at schools, and they generally spend disturbingly large chunks of their weekly incomes to service a mortgage or rent. Then they go to a grocery store and
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