Possums Pollytics

Nelson the Future Eater - Dining on the base vote A La Carte

Possums Pollytics - May 9, 2008 - 3:36pm
This was me in Crikey earlier today. After every change of government, dismal polls become a staple for the political misery that is Opposition. But there are dismal polls – essentially temporary bouts of opprobrium and uncertainty unleashed by the electorate on the recently vanquished, and then there are polls so dismal that one must start to question whether they represent some underlying shift afoot in the size and structure of a party’s base vote. Read more »

Many thanks, some cake and a hidden gem

Possums Pollytics - May 3, 2008 - 3:33pm
A great many thanks from not only myself, but from the new Mrs Possum to all the well wishers and givers of magnificent advice over what to do and where to go in Tassie - especially the restaurants and little hidden secrets! As a token of our appreciation, the best we can do is offer you a bit of virtual wedding cake :mrgreen: Read more »

A quick addition to housing affordability

Possums Pollytics - April 2, 2008 - 9:37am
Continuing on from our last round of debate,  Anthony Richards, the Head of the Economic Analysis Department at the RBA has just conveniently published a spiel on housing affordability that he gave to the Melbourne Institutes 2008 Economic and Social Outlook Conference. Some Observations on the Cost of Housing in Australia Read more »

Now Listen Up Kev – What about this housing bizzo?

Possums Pollytics - March 18, 2008 - 10:46am

In an act of impeccable timing, George Meg over at the The Oz on Saturday had a great article on housing affordability (which has now turned up on his blog) and is a must read. Read more »

State of the Polls.

Possums Pollytics - November 2, 2007 - 1:41pm

nov3prims1.jpg

Dead would be the closest description.

We’ve had the big combined Newspoll at 56/44 to the ALP with primaries running 49/40 to the ALP

ACN is out with 55/45, and primaries at 48/41 to the ALP Read more »

State of the Polls – Old School

Possums Pollytics - May 4, 2008 - 3:29pm

It’s been an awfully long time since we last had a good look at the broad state of the political polling like primary votes, satisfaction ratings and their trends rather than the simple headline TPP and Brendan Nelson’s limbo with preferred PM ratings.

So to start off, some music to listen to as we go through the poll roll - the Halo Friendlies doing “Sellout”… quite apt for the poor old Nightwatchman of late. Read more »

Possums Getting Married

Possums Pollytics - April 8, 2008 - 11:20am
My childhood sweetheart of 15 years has decided that the time is right for her to sign my ownership papers even though I keep telling her that a semi-vintage model like myself doesn’t come with much of a warranty these days - too old to be considered fashionable, but not old enough to be considered vintage chic. Yet despite my many flaws - some rough paint work, zero fashion sense and a predilection for inappropriate metaphors to name but a few of the kinder ones, she’s still keen, god bless her. Read more »

A Brief History of Morgan

Possums Pollytics - April 4, 2008 - 3:38pm
Fridays Morgan Poll, a phone poll of 2,231 respondents taken over the weekends of March 26/27 and April 2/3 has just been released showing the ALP leading on primaries 51/34 for a TPP lead of 60.5/39.5 Getting back to our old habit of charting these little buggers now that we are starting to get enough of them to warrant it, this is what all Morgan polls taken since the last election look like. Read more »

Political Advice By The Column Inch

Possums Pollytics - April 1, 2008 - 2:20pm

In a headline that rivals “Strange Man on Public Transport!” for its sheer obviousness, Opposition is a Tough Business. With new governments come new oppositions which generally struggle to cope with the large decrease in relevance associated with the opposition benches. But after eighteen weeks, most Federal oppositions have at least developed some veneer of political strategy, some understanding of the job required in opposition which the polling starts to reflect. The day to day demand of having a 5 second grab on the great suite of topics that make up the news cycle starts getting complimented with more strategic approaches to the long term business of opposition. Read more »

Now Listen Up Kev – What about this housing bizzo? Part 2 - Policy bits.

Possums Pollytics - March 22, 2008 - 3:23pm

Continuing on from Part 1 where we had a quick look at the nature of the data, we’ll head into a potential policy solution for increasing affordability, but certainly by no means the only one. Read more »