See the scan of the napkin (thumbnail, below; click on it for a bigger view).
A bunch of us were in a bar in Nashville TN, speculating on the proportion of the American population that could correctly identify the state in which Barack Obama spent most of his childhood.
See the proposed multiple choice survey question on the right; political scientists best guesses on the left. The guesses range from 11% (Larry Bartels) to 28% (Lynn Vavreck). I’m down for 18%. Read more »




